The creation of a baseline in CAPRI is considered a “workstep” in the GUI, and it consists of three distinct tasks. In addition to those three tasks, the modeller will usually want to perform a simulation of “no change” to reproduce the calibrated baseline with the model. Figure below illustrates the principal data flows involved in the baseline process. Each step is further described in a separate section of this chapter.
Figure 10: Overview of CAPRI baseline process
The forecast tool CAPTRD uses the consolidated national and regional time series from COCO and CAPREG together with external projections from the AgLink model. The result is a projection for the key variables in the agricultural sector (activity levels and market balances) of all regions in the supply models (EU+) that is consistent with the supply model equations.