forecast_tool_captrd
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forecast_tool_captrd [2020/03/01 07:17] – [Step 4: Breaking down results from Member State to regional and farm type level] matsz | forecast_tool_captrd [2022/11/07 10:23] (current) – external edit 127.0.0.1 | ||
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^ ^ ^ BAST | | | | | | | | | 8579| Simple average of the last 3 observation years available: 2012-2014.| | ^ ^ ^ BAST | | | | | | | | | 8579| Simple average of the last 3 observation years available: 2012-2014.| | ||
^ ^ ^ B2000 | | | | | | | | | 7988| | | ^ ^ ^ B2000 | | | | | | | | | 7988| | | ||
- | ^ ^ ^ support | | | | | | | | | 9167| Values estimated as linear combination of Step1 and BAST (BASM) with R2 as weight. They are replaced with expert support where applicable and then scaled. They are then stored as Support1. Support is then redefined based on the Aglink-Cosimo value.(The final version of the support value at MS level (if calibration to the projections of Aglink-Cosimo takes place), is calibration value derived from DgAgri1.)| | + | ^ ^ ^ support | | | | | | | | | 9167| Values estimated as linear combination of Step1 and BAST (BASM) with R2 as weight. They are replaced with expert support where applicable and then scaled. They are then stored as Support1. Support is then redefined based on the Aglink-Cosimo value.((The final version of the support value at MS level (if calibration to the projections of Aglink-Cosimo takes place), is calibration value derived from DgAgri1.))| |
^ ^ ^ support1 | | | | | | | | | 8943| (expert) support value, before introduction of Aglink-Cosimo calibration values. | | ^ ^ ^ support1 | | | | | | | | | 8943| (expert) support value, before introduction of Aglink-Cosimo calibration values. | | ||
^ ^ ^ step1 | | | | | | | | | 8918| 1) Result of estimation of unconstrined trends| | ^ ^ ^ step1 | | | | | | | | | 8918| 1) Result of estimation of unconstrined trends| | ||
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^ ^ ^ P_Data |6975| …| 9061| 8614| 8078 |8139| 8810| 8789| | ^ ^ ^ P_Data |6975| …| 9061| 8614| 8078 |8139| 8810| 8789| | ||
^ ^ ^ series |6975| … |9061 |8614 |8078 |8139|8810 |8789 | | ^ ^ ^ series |6975| … |9061 |8614 |8078 |8139|8810 |8789 | | ||
- | ^ ^ ^ up | | | | | | | | | 8978 |Upper estimation bound| | + | ^ ^ ^ up | | | | | | | | | 8978 |Upper estimation bound| |
- | + | Source: own compilation. Comments: SWHE in Product code column indicates soft wheat commodity. SWHE in Activity code indicates yield of soft wheat. The CAPRI model used for this example was calibrated to the projections of Aglink-Cosimo model. | |
forecast_tool_captrd.1583047037.txt.gz · Last modified: 2022/11/07 10:23 (external edit)