on_forecasts_in_simulation_models
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* The second example is that of FAPRI model, where a so-called melting down meeting is organised where the modellers responsible for specific parts of the system come together with market experts. Results are discussed, parameters and assumptions changed until there is consensus. Little is known about how the process works exactly, but both examples underline the interaction between model mechanisms and ex-ante expectations of market experts. | * The second example is that of FAPRI model, where a so-called melting down meeting is organised where the modellers responsible for specific parts of the system come together with market experts. Results are discussed, parameters and assumptions changed until there is consensus. Little is known about how the process works exactly, but both examples underline the interaction between model mechanisms and ex-ante expectations of market experts. | ||
- | As is the case in other agencies, the CAPRI baseline is also fed by external (“expert”) forecasts, as well as by trend forecasts using data from the national ‘COCO’ and regionalized CAPREG databases (Chapters | + | As is the case in other agencies, the CAPRI baseline is also fed by external (“expert”) forecasts, as well as by trend forecasts using data from the national ‘COCO’ and regionalized CAPREG databases (Chapters |
on_forecasts_in_simulation_models.txt · Last modified: 2022/11/07 10:23 by 127.0.0.1