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--- forecast_tool_captrd [2020/03/01 07:17] – [Step 4: Breaking down results from Member State to regional and farm type level] matsz
+++ forecast_tool_captrd [2020/03/01 19:31] – [Step 4: Breaking down results from Member State to regional and farm type level] matsz
@@ Line 511: / Line 511: @@
 ^ ^ ^	 	BAST	 | 	 | | | | | | |	|  	 	 	 	8579|	Simple average of the last 3 observation years available: 2012-2014.|
 ^ ^ ^ 	 	B2000	| 	 | | | | | | |	|  	  	 	 	7988| |
-^ ^ ^ 	 	support	 | 	 | | | | | | |	|  	 	 	 	9167|	Values estimated as linear combination of Step1 and BAST (BASM) with R2 as weight. They are replaced with expert support where applicable and then scaled. They are then stored as Support1. Support is then redefined based on the Aglink-Cosimo value.(The final version of the support value at MS level (if calibration to the projections of Aglink-Cosimo takes place), is calibration value derived from DgAgri1.)|
+^ ^ ^ 	 	support	 | 	 | | | | | | |	|  	 	 	 	9167|	Values estimated as linear combination of Step1 and BAST (BASM) with R2 as weight. They are replaced with expert support where applicable and then scaled. They are then stored as Support1. Support is then redefined based on the Aglink-Cosimo value.((The final version of the support value at MS level (if calibration to the projections of Aglink-Cosimo takes place), is calibration value derived from DgAgri1.))|
 ^ ^ ^	 	support1	| 	 | | | | | | |	|    	 	 	8943|	(expert) support value, before introduction of Aglink-Cosimo calibration values. |
 ^ ^ ^ 	 	step1	 	| 	 | | | | | | |	|  	 	 	8918|	1) Result of estimation of unconstrined trends|
@@ Line 523: / Line 523: @@
 ^ ^ ^ 	 	P_Data	|6975|	…|	9061|	8614|	8078	|8139|	8810|	8789|  |	Historical data – output of Build database. The last observation year – 2014.|
 ^ ^ ^ 	 	series	|6975|	…	|9061	|8614	|8078	|8139|8810	|8789	|  8949| 	Historical values (until 2014) and projected values (starting from 2015 with 5-year step, as defined in the GUI setting for the Trends projection task). The projected values are "copied" from Step 3.((Because the last observation year is 2014, values in 2015 are prjections.))((Values in 2020, 2025 and 2030 are projections as well but are not presented in this example.))|
-^ ^ ^ 	 	up	| 	 | | | | | | |	|     	 	 	 	 	8978	|Upper estimation bound|  \\ Source: own compilation. Comments: SWHE in Product code column indicates soft wheat commodity. SWHE in Activity code indicates yield of soft wheat. The CAPRI model used for this example was calibrated to the projections of Aglink-Cosimo model.
+^ ^ ^ 	 	up	| 	 | | | | | | |	|     	 	 	 	 	8978	|Upper estimation bound|
+Source: own compilation. Comments: SWHE in Product code column indicates soft wheat commodity. SWHE in Activity code indicates yield of soft wheat. The CAPRI model used for this example was calibrated to the projections of Aglink-Cosimo model.