baseline_generation
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**Figure 11: Pork production in Hungary as an example for merging medium run and long run a priori information in the CAPRI baseline approach** | **Figure 11: Pork production in Hungary as an example for merging medium run and long run a priori information in the CAPRI baseline approach** | ||
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The example has been chosen because historical trends (and Aglink-COSIMO projections) on the one hand and long run expectations differ markedly. This is not unusual because medium run forecasts often give a stronger weight to recent production trends, often indicating a stagnating or declining production in the EU, whereas the long run studies tend to focus on the global growth of food demand in the coming decades. The simple trends (filled triangles) would evidently give unreasonable, | The example has been chosen because historical trends (and Aglink-COSIMO projections) on the one hand and long run expectations differ markedly. This is not unusual because medium run forecasts often give a stronger weight to recent production trends, often indicating a stagnating or declining production in the EU, whereas the long run studies tend to focus on the global growth of food demand in the coming decades. The simple trends (filled triangles) would evidently give unreasonable, |
baseline_generation.1591115738.txt.gz · Last modified: 2022/11/07 10:23 (external edit)